Naya Homes
Homeowners     10 Oct 2024

Short-term Rental Market Landscape | Nayarit | Q3 2024

Nayarit’s short-term rental market faced challenges during the third trimester of 2024, with a decline in international tourism and an increase in rental unit supply. Despite these hurdles, Naya Homes continues to outperform the market, achieving strong results specially during holiday periods and maintaining a competitive edge over other operators.

Vacation Rental at Quinta San Miguel by Naya Homes in Nayarit

The Numbers: What’s Happening in Puerto Vallarta?

Nayarit’s short-term rental market weakened further during Q3 2024. International tourist arrivals dropped by -17.3% year-over-year in September, driven by the strong peso and a decline in remote work, reducing international travel demand. Additionally, a steady influx of new units over the past 24 months has led to increased supply, pushing down occupancy rates compared to previous years. This resulted in an -8% decline in overall market revenue.

However, two factors could help counter this trend. A stronger U.S. dollar could boost travel from American tourists, and the decrease in total listings may help stabilize occupancy rates. Despite these challenges, Naya Homes has consistently outperformed the market, generating 30% more revenue than its competitors, particularly during peak travel periods.

Market Factors: Supply and Demand

Supply: In recent months, there has been a slight decline in the number of active listings on platforms such as Airbnb, although the number of units sold continues to rise as new developments are delivered. Despite this slight dip, the total number of active listings remains 77% higher than in 2022, continuing to create pressure on occupancy rates.

Demand: While Nayarit is increasingly seen as a more affordable alternative to Puerto Vallarta, the number of nights booked in the Riviera did not grow this quarter compared to 2023. This highlights a stable demand that has not been sufficient to absorb the increasing supply.

Sources: Internal data, Transparent, Wheelhouse, AirDNA

Forecast for Q4 2024

  • The number of active listings is expected to remain volatile as many homeowners who are unable to sell their properties may return to the short-term rental market during the high season. This volatility in supply could affect occupancy rates in the coming months.
  • International tourism may continue to face challenges due to ongoing violence in some parts of Mexico. The U.S. Department of State has added more states to its “Do Not Travel” list, potentially discouraging international visitors.
  • The peso is expected to remain volatile due to judicial reforms and political changes. However, a weaker peso could encourage more international tourists, boosting the market.

Want more short-term rental news? Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

dots

Contact us to learn more

Fill out the form to set up an appointment with one of our property management experts.

contact-us-image